SPY Is Coiling Right Under The Two-Week Ceiling.SPY Is Coiling Right Under The Two-Week Ceiling.
SPY held its reclaim and is pressing 754.81, sitting just beneath the 755.66 ceiling it has fought for two weeks. Unlike BTC and NVDA, it did not make and lose a new high - it is coiling directly under resistance with the setup building underneath: the daily thesis is a long with strong Q1 conviction, structure is bull, and the entry signal is forming. The one caution is an NR7 anti-signal, the tightest range in seven bars, a compression that resolves into an expansion. This is the one name where a break carries an edge, and it is the closest it has been to the trigger. A confirmed close above 755.66 is the event. Not there yet.
Resistance: 755.66 - the two-week ceiling
Key resistance: 760.40 - open air above
Current price: 754.81
Support: 751.00 - first hold
Key support: 748.00 - interior support
Structural floor: 739.34 - the swept low
Two paths from here:
The coil breaks up through 755.66 on a close. If SPY clears and holds the ceiling, two weeks of range resolves upward toward 760 and the long lean unlocks on the one instrument where a break carries an edge. The NR7 says the expansion is close.
The compression resolves down. NR7 cuts both ways - a rejection at 755.66 and a loss of 751 sends the expansion lower toward 748 and 740. The trigger is the close, not the poke.
SPY is the cleanest setup on the board - coiled right under the level with structure and conviction on side and the entry forming. NR7 says the move is imminent. A confirmed break of 755.66 is the leanable event; the compression just tells us it is coming soon.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice. Research 16.07.2026๐ Markets:
AMEX:SPY -2.08 -0.28%(pre/m)
NASDAQ:QQQ -6.20 -0.86%(pre/m)
๐ Economic News:
08:30 USA โ Retail Sales
08:30 USA โ Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00 USA โ Business Inventories
10:00 USA โ Housing Market Index / Pending Home Sales
๐ Gap Ups
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NASDAQ:JBHT NYSE:UNH NYSE:CFG NYSE:PLD NYSE:ABT NYSE:STT
Other news:
NYSE:LLY to acquire NASDAQ:ATAI for $6.75 per share in cash upon closing; plus up to $2.50 per share in the form of a Contingent Value Right (CVR) entitling the holder to additional cash payments upon achievement of specified development and regulatory milestones
NASDAQ:GHRS gains on optimism surrounding potential Eli Lilly-Atai deal
NASDAQ:BIDU advances Hong Kong dual primary listing plans, shares climb
Warren Buffett Says Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL Can Beat 95% of Wall Street Stock Picks
NYSE:NVO Stock Rises After Wegovy Pill Captured 89% of U.S. Prescriptions
NASDAQ:AAPL Intelligence edges closer to China with NYSE:BABA Qwen integration
๐ Gap Downs
Reaction to earnings/guidance:
NYSE:TSM NYSE:GE NASDAQ:UAL NYSE:USB NASDAQ:BULL
Other news:
Memory stocks rallied Tuesday after NYSE:IBM said customers were shifting spending toward AI servers, storage and memory. : NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:WDC NASDAQ:SKHY NASDAQ:STX
NASDAQ:ASTS : A poor couple of months for the satellite-broadband company was being compounded by the announcement of a convertible debt offering - Barrons
NYSE:TSM TSMC and AI stocks fall despite upbeat earnings as investors weighed a sharply expanded capital spending plan against near-term margin pressure. : NYSE:UMC NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:NVDA NYSE:GLW NASDAQ:AAOI NASDAQ:ARM NYSE:COHR NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:AEHR NASDAQ:AMAT
โผ๏ธ Additional
Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA partners with Japan robotics firms on AI development
-- Japan will purchase 27,500 Nvidia Rubin chips to develop AI for robotics.
-- Nvidia: partnership with Fujitsu, Fanuc, Yaskawa Electric, Kawasaki, and Hitachi.
Warsh told Congress that US inflation will not remain elevated.
NYSE:UBER announced a public takeover offer for Germanyโs Delivery Hero.
-- The company is offering $14.8 billion, representing a 35% premium to the three-month volume-weighted average price.
-- The merger would create the worldโs largest food delivery company outside China.
SpaceX NASDAQ:SPCX shares fell below their IPO price, while the lock-up period expires in early August, creating a potential overhang of 911 million shares โ RTRS.
Strategy NASDAQ:MSTR would only start to become concerned if CRYPTOCAP:BTC falls to the $8,000โ10,000 range โ CEO.
Anthropic will hold meetings with investors in the coming weeks ahead of its upcoming IPO.
๐ข IPO
NYSE:CSQR โ Csquare, Inc.
Company operates carrier-neutral data centers providing colocation and interconnection services for enterprise, network, cloud and technology customers. Its platform includes 64 sites across 21 major metro markets in the U.S., Canada and the U.K., serving 1,700+ customers. Core thesis is rising demand for digital infrastructure, low-latency connectivity, cloud workloads and AI/data center capacity.
Price: $21.00
Shares: 50.0M
Raised: $1.05B
Market Cap: ~$3.25B
LTM:
Revenue: $1.02B
Net Income: -$150.9M
Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:EQIX , NYSE:DLR , NYSE:IRM , NYSE:AMT , NYSE:CCI , NASDAQ:SBAC
NYSE:STDN โ Standard Nuclear, Inc.
Company manufactures advanced nuclear fuel, mainly TRISO fuel, used by next-generation nuclear reactors, including some SMRs and microreactors. Standard Nuclear operates industrial-scale TRISO production facilities in the U.S. and is already producing and shipping fuel for advanced reactor demonstrations. Core thesis is rising demand for domestic nuclear fuel supply, energy security and new nuclear infrastructure.
Price: $15.00
Shares: 10.0M
Raised: $150.0M
Market Cap: ~$2.41B
LTM:
Revenue: $3.36M
Net Income: -$15.0M
Key point:
IPO was downsized from the original $18.00โ$21.00 range and 18.25M shares to $15.00 and 10.0M shares.
Comparable public companies: NYSE:LEU , NYSE:CCJ , AMEX:UUUU , NYSE:OKLO , NYSE:SMR , NYSE:BWXT
๐ข Direct Listing
NASDAQ:QMLS โ QumulusAI, Inc.
Company provides GPU-powered cloud infrastructure for AI workloads, mainly targeting small and mid-market customers that may be underserved by large hyperscalers. QumulusAI currently operates GPU infrastructure across colocation data centers and plans to scale its HPC business, while reducing reliance on legacy blockchain operations. Core thesis is fast deployment of AI compute capacity, GPU-as-a-Service demand and repurposing power/data center assets toward HPC workloads.
Listing Type: NASDAQ Direct Listing
Shares Offered: up to 39.5M
Raised: $0 โ Direct Listing, no new capital raised
Reference Price: not set
Prior Share Issuance Range: $3.00โ$23.15
LTM:
Revenue: $11.85M
Net Income: -$93.7M
Key point:
Current business still has meaningful blockchain exposure, but company expects HPC compute revenue to exceed blockchain revenue in 2026.
Comparable public companies: NASDAQ:CRWV , NASDAQ:IREN , NASDAQ:CORZ , NASDAQ:CIFR , NASDAQ:APLD , NASDAQ:BTBT
๐ List of tickers involved:
NASDAQ:JBHT NYSE:UNH NYSE:CFG NYSE:PLD NYSE:ABT NYSE:STT NYSE:LLY NASDAQ:ATAI NASDAQ:GHRS NASDAQ:BIDU NASDAQ:GOOGL NYSE:NVO NASDAQ:AAPL NYSE:BABA NYSE:TSM NYSE:GE NASDAQ:UAL NYSE:USB NASDAQ:BULL NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:MU NASDAQ:SNDK NASDAQ:WDC NASDAQ:SKHY NASDAQ:STX NASDAQ:ASTS NYSE:UMC NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:NVDA NYSE:GLW NASDAQ:AAOI NASDAQ:ARM NYSE:COHR NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:AEHR NASDAQ:AMAT NYSE:UBER NASDAQ:SPCX NASDAQ:MSTR CRYPTOCAP:BTC NYSE:CSQR NASDAQ:EQIX NYSE:DLR NYSE:IRM NYSE:AMT NYSE:CCI NASDAQ:SBAC NYSE:STDN NYSE:LEU NYSE:CCJ AMEX:UUUU NYSE:OKLO NYSE:SMR NYSE:BWXT NASDAQ:QMLS NASDAQ:CRWV NASDAQ:IREN NASDAQ:CORZ NASDAQ:CIFR NASDAQ:APLD NASDAQ:BTBT
Best regards โ hi2morrow team.
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Cup and Handle Forming Inside a Primary UptrendSPY 15m | Long Bias | Cup and Handle Forming Inside a Primary Uptrend
๐ STRUCTURE
The primary trend is up and this pullback is corrective, not distributive. From the 740 low on 7/8, SPY ran to 755.42, retraced into the 748 zone on 7/13 and 7/14, then reclaimed 755.56. That sequence draws the cup. The current fade from 755.56 into 752.50 is the handle, a shallow drift on declining momentum, exactly where handles are supposed to form: the upper third of the prior range. Handle low is holding above the 0.618 retrace of the last impulse leg at 752.67 and the 0.5 at 751.78. Corrections that stop at the golden pocket inside an uptrend are continuation setups until proven otherwise.
๐งญ VWAP BUY ZONE
The anchored VWAP band is the tell. Price is sitting directly on the upper band at 752.52 with the lower confluence shelf at 751.77. That 751.77 to 752.52 window is the buy zone: anchored VWAP support, the 0.5 and 0.618 fib cluster, and prior consolidation all stacked in a 75-cent range. Institutions defend anchored VWAP from the swing low because it marks their average inventory price. As long as SPY holds this shelf, dips are supply absorption, not trend failure. The rising 200-period MA at 749.97 sits just below as the structural invalidation line.
โ FLOW CONFIRMATION
Options tape supports the level. Three put sweeps executed at the bid within minutes (749P, 750P, 754P, combined ~$437K premium), which reads as put supply into the dip rather than protection buying. On the call side, a $331K Jan 2027 765C sweep lifted at the ask. Long-dated call demand plus short-dated put selling at the exact fib and VWAP confluence is the flow signature of accumulation.
๐ฏ TARGETS AND RISK
Measured move off the cup depth projects into the fib extensions overhead: 759.30 (1.5) first, 760.23 to 760.32 (1.618) as the primary objective. Entry zone 751.77 to 752.52. Invalidation on a 15m close below 749.97, which breaks the 200MA, the golden pocket, and handle structure simultaneously.
Bias: long above 751.77. Reversal risk exists on any handle, but structure, fib confluence, anchored VWAP defense, and flow all point the same direction. Trade the level, not the opinion.
Not financial advice. Educational market structure analysis.
AMEX:SPY SPCFD:SPX CME_MINI:ES1! Long 
SPY: Moving upSPY 15m | Discount Bounce Targets Gap Fill Into Supply, 754.60 to 755.38
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐
SPY defended the discount shelf at 748.78 to 749.25 inside the demand block, printed CHoCH near 750.40, and reclaimed the opening range high at 751.50 plus the daily 20 MA at 751.27 and the 0.618 at 751.30. Momentum now targets the open gap at 754.57 to 755.22, which stacks with the 1.236 and 1.382 extensions and a tagged weak high. Liquidity above that high is the magnet.
๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ
Fib anchored 748.78 low to 753.34 high. Price holds above the 0.702 at 751.75. Immediate friction at the 0.886, 752.73, then the 753.34 swing. Above 753.34 structure is thin into the gap.
๐๐
๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
Preferred entry on a retest of 751.50 to 751.75. Stop under 750.89. Targets 753.34, 754.60, 755.22. First touch of the gap fill zone gets scaled, not chased. That zone is premium supply. It stays a take profit area until a 15 minute close above 755.38 on expanding volume proves otherwise.
๐ฅ๐ถ๐๐ธ
Bounce volume is contracting, 40K on the latest bar. This reads as covering plus passive fill, not initiative demand. A lower high under 753.34 flips structure toward distribution with 750.06 as the downside magnet. RSI 57.5 above its signal at 54.8 confirms, no divergence yet.
๐๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
15 minute close below 751.27 degrades the setup. Below 750.67 the gap fill thesis is dead.
WaverVanir International | Not financial advice. Long 
Long
SPY Is Back At The Ceiling It Has Fought For Two Weeks.SPY Is Back At The Ceiling It Has Fought For Two Weeks.
SPY reclaimed 751 as the shakeout resolved and is now pressing 753, right back under the 755.66 highs. The structure has repaired underneath it: the daily is Impulse Continuation Bull again with a 230-bar bull print standing and anti-signals clear. This is the same ceiling that has capped price for two weeks, but this time it is being approached with structure on side rather than the conviction divergence that turned it down before. This is the one name where a confirmed break is leanable, so 755.66 is the level that matters. Not there yet.
Resistance: 755.66 - the two-week ceiling
Key resistance: 758.00 - open air above
Current price: 753.15
Support: 751.00 - the reclaimed level, first hold
Key support: 748.00 - interior support
Structural floor: 739.34 - the swept low
Two paths from here:
The ceiling breaks on a confirmed close. If SPY clears 755.66 and holds it, two weeks of range resolves upward and there is open air above. With daily structure now bull and prints clean, this is the break that would unlock a long lean on the one instrument where breaks actually carry an edge.
The ceiling rejects again. 755.66 has held every attempt for two weeks. A rejection and a loss of 751 puts the range back in force and 748, then 740, back in view. Respect the level until it goes on a close.
Third trip to 755.66 in two weeks, and the first with the daily structure repaired beneath it. A confirmed break is the leanable event here; a rejection keeps it a range. Watching the close.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice.
Short 
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